Following a really great conversation with an old friend I reconnected with, during which we talked about the past, present and future state of tech/AI, the following simple, high-level framework which I sketched out during the meeting has been on my mind:
- Where is started: Deterministic -> Deterministic -> Deterministic (Spreadsheets, Databases - Microsoft, Oracle)
- Where we were: Deterministic -> Probabilistic -> Deterministic (Ads - Google, Meta)
- Where we are now: Probabilistic -> Probabilistic -> Probabilistic (GenAI - OpenAI, Anthropic)
- Where we want to get to: Probabilistic -> Probabilistic -> Deterministic (???)
Does this resonate with you?